Daily Market Dispatch – May 13, 2025. Cooler CPI lifts sentiment across risk assets. Markets exhaled after the April U.

13 May 2025, 17:25

Daily Market Dispatch – May 13, 2025 Cooler CPI lifts sentiment across risk assets Markets exhaled after the April U.S. inflation report came in below expectations, with core CPI holding steady at 2.8% and headline inflation slowing to 2.3% year-over-year – the smallest annual gain since February 2021. The softer-than-expected data sent equity futures higher and Treasury yields lower, as traders recalibrated the Fed’s policy path. In crypto, if you blinked, you may have missed it – sentiment is at a 12-month high, Ethereum is being Googled in every wrong spelling imaginable, and stablecoins are quietly adding billions. With inflation moderating and policy uncertainty still lingering, traders are balancing a favorable short-term setup against a complex macro backdrop. Bitcoin Outlook Bitcoin is trading at $103,700, up 1% over the past 24 hours, maintaining levels above its $2 trillion market cap threshold. Sentiment analytics show BTC just hit its highest level in a year, while new demand continued, with the First-Time Buyer RSI holding at 100 – indicating robust interest from fresh entrants. BTC remains above key technical levels, with support around $98,000 and $94,000 and upside targets at $106,500. The inflation print adds breathing room for risk assets, and if price action continues to hold above $100,000, this level may firm into a psychological and structural base. Ethereum & Altcoins Ethereum is trading around $2,500, up 2%. A spike in Google search traffic – including for misspellings like “Etherium” – suggests retail interest is back. Developers are also looking ahead: Ethereum’s “Fusaka” upgrade, targeting lower validator and L2 costs, is scheduled for late 2025. XRP is trading at $2.55, up nearly 20% on the week, backed by rising open interest now totaling $5.4 billion. DOGE, ADA, and BNB posted moderate gains, and Glassnode data shows that over 95% of the supply for BTC, XRP, and TRX is currently in profit. This points to a broadly intact market foundation despite past drawdowns. Macro & Institutional Trends April’s CPI came in cooler than expected, with headline inflation rising just 2.3% year-over-year (vs. 2.4% est.) and 0.2% month-over-month (vs. 0.3% est.). Core CPI held at 2.8%, aligning with forecasts. The data immediately boosted risk appetite – stock futures rose, Treasury yields fell, and swap markets pulled back rate hike expectations for the Fed’s September meeting. SEC Chair Paul Atkins reaffirmed a more structured regulatory approach to crypto, focusing on fit-for-purpose rules on custody and asset classification. His comments are seen as a break from the agency’s prior enforcement-first posture, helping reinforce long-term institutional confidence. Tether’s circulating supply crossed $150 billion, supported by $120 billion in U.S. Treasury exposure. The stablecoin issuer reported $1 billion in profit last quarter, highlighting the resilience of yield-backed digital cash infrastructure. Looking Ahead Today’s inflation print delivered a boost to sentiment, giving markets a window of clarity on near-term monetary policy. While questions remain about the full macro impact of tariffs, the CPI data suggests pricing pressures remain contained, for now. With the FOMC minutes due tomorrow and Q2 now underway, traders appear poised to lean into strength, not chase it. Crypto continues to reflect this recalibration, with Bitcoin holding key levels and altcoins drawing renewed attention from both retail and institutional participants. — Stella Zlatareva, Nexo Dispatch editor For informational purposes only; not financial or investment advice.

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