Daily Market Dispatch – May 21, 2025. Overview.

21 May 2025, 14:12

Daily Market Dispatch – May 21, 2025 Overview Bitcoin is brushing up against its all-time high, closing Tuesday at a record $106,830 and pushing above $107,500 in early Wednesday trade. The market stands at a crossroads: short sellers are crowded at $108,000, while structural demand deepens across spot, futures, and institutional channels. The rally reflects more than price action – it signals a regime shift. With over 33,000 BTC added to short-term holder supply in a week, and long-term holders quietly accumulating 450,000 BTC since March, Bitcoin shows the hallmarks of a breakout built on conviction, not hype. Traditional markets, meanwhile, are treading cautiously. U.S. equities pulled back Tuesday, and futures are pointing lower again, as Treasury yields climb and fiscal concerns resurface. Gold is benefiting from haven flows, while the dollar softens amid President Donald Trump’s tax and spending bill. Bitcoin Bitcoin has settled above $106,000, with the market primed for a decisive breakout. Record open interest in futures at $75 billion reflects high-leverage bets on volatility. ETF flows continue to reinforce the rally. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $329 million in inflows on May 20 alone, further signaling demand. Behind the price action is a profound shift in supply dynamics. Short-term holders are back in profit, while long-term holders now sit on average gains above 230%. Realized profits have surged more than tenfold this month, yet selling pressure remains muted. Bitcoin’s realized cap – measuring capital stored in the network – hit a record $900 billion, highlighting the depth of conviction and the market’s willingness to stick with the asset. BTC’s message is clear: accumulation isn’t just intact – it’s intensifying. And with institutional buy-in converging with retail enthusiasm, the next leg-up is not a question of if, but when. Ethereum & Altcoins Ethereum is riding a renewed wave of institutional interest, trading at $2,580 after an 80% rally from April lows. ETH ETFs saw $64 million in inflows on Tuesday, as traders opened bullish call spreads targeting $6,000 by year-end. Altcoins are tracking broader strength. Solana, Cardano, and Dogecoin each gained 1–3%. More regulatory developments are on deck. The SEC has delayed decisions on new altcoin ETFs, including XRP, DOGE, and SOL, keeping broader ETF expansion beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum on hold for now. Macro & Institutional SEC Chair Paul Atkins declared a shift from enforcement-first to engagement-first policy. Plans to unify custody and trading rules across asset classes now signal the clearest path yet to regulatory integration. In traditional markets, U.S. stock futures slipped early Wednesday, following Tuesday’s pullback in equities and a spike in Treasury yields. The 10-year briefly touched 4.48%, a move tied to America’s less favorable fiscal outlook and President Trump’s proposed multi-trillion-dollar spending plan. Gold rose 0.4% to $3,302, lifted by fiscal concerns and a weaker dollar. The greenback extended a two-day drop, with the Dollar Index falling below 100 amid growing uncertainty around the tax package and upcoming G7 meetings. Looking Ahead Bitcoin is in a high-stakes standoff. A break above $108,000 could ignite the next leg to $110,000 – the coming 48 hours may determine whether the market enters full price discovery. Macro focus shifts today to speeches from Fed officials Thomas Barkin and Michelle Bowman for fresh policy signals. Thursday brings key labor data via initial and continuing jobless claims, alongside S&P Global’s flash manufacturing and services PMIs. Friday wraps the week with new home sales, offering a pulse check on U.S. consumer resilience. As fiscal risks rise and global trade tensions linger, Bitcoin’s bid as a hedge – and a beacon – looks increasingly well earned. — Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch analyst For informational purposes only; not financial or investment advice.

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